Cirium’s annual fleet forecast, released on October 13, 2026, points to continued aircraft delivery constraints through at least 2030. The aviation analytics company says engine availability, supplier bottlenecks and certification delays are limiting manufacturers’ ability to meet airline demand. The forecast describes an industry with strong long-term demand but a production system that cannot yet translate orders into deliveries quickly enough.
The immediate consequence for airlines is a longer wait to expand or renew fleets. Carriers are keeping older aircraft in service while waiting for…